Thought about this a bit and my take is basically:
Most defi primitives are just finance primitives and have been invented already, just not necessarily built/deployed in Defi yet.
That is because higher-layer primitives require the presence (+ maturity/liquidity/etc) of lower level primitives to become viable.
Thus, technology matters very little for Defi innovation and network effect + ecosystem maturity matters a lot.
To give just one example, interest rate swaps (Pendle) became possible once Ethereum had a flourishing yield ecosystem. That yield ecosystem only became possible when it had deep savers and borrowers, which in turn required mature repo and swap markets, etc. -- Skip any of these steps, and the whole pyramid stops working.
As a result, I expect 90%+ of Defi innovation to continue to occur first on Ethereum and Solana and not any of the new "more powerful" chains. They need to focus on catching up first, paired with focusing on novel areas of apps that need fewer complements to exist.
@HyperliquidX , then, is really a special case among new chains because it has the deepest perps liquidity in Defi, giving it a unique advantage to dominate products where perps are the essential complement/enabler.
The first ones include arguably: volatility and options markets, commodities and certain types of negative carry RWA, and synthetic equity products.
In summary, I expect
- Hyperliquid to take the lead in these areas
- Ethereum (and with some distance, Solana) to continue to lead Defi innovation at large, and
- A more difficult time for new chains because Defi is 90% about network effects and maturity, and little about better technology, and building that takes time.
2.42万
124
本页面内容由第三方提供。除非另有说明,欧易不是所引用文章的作者,也不对此类材料主张任何版权。该内容仅供参考,并不代表欧易观点,不作为任何形式的认可,也不应被视为投资建议或购买或出售数字资产的招揽。在使用生成式人工智能提供摘要或其他信息的情况下,此类人工智能生成的内容可能不准确或不一致。请阅读链接文章,了解更多详情和信息。欧易不对第三方网站上的内容负责。包含稳定币、NFTs 等在内的数字资产涉及较高程度的风险,其价值可能会产生较大波动。请根据自身财务状况,仔细考虑交易或持有数字资产是否适合您。


