最新周度数据中,预测市场整体交易量已站上 20 亿美元级别
且 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 已形成明显的双寡头格局:
🔸 两者合计占据绝大部分交易量与活跃用户
🔸 其他平台如 Limitless 与 Myriad 虽在增长,但规模仍明显落后
🔸 高流动性 → 更好的盈亏比 → 更多用户 → 再带来更多流动性,正形成加速强化的飞轮

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